Joseph George Caldwell, PhD (Statistics)
Tel. (864)439-2772, e-mail: jcaldwell9@yahoo.com (preferred) or jackiec@mega.bw (backup)
KEY QUALIFICATIONS: Management consultant. Consultant in information technology; systems and software engineering; management information systems; database design; geographic information systems; statistics; economics; program planning, monitoring and evaluation; policy analysis; strategic planning and analysis. Consultant to US government agencies, state governments, corporations and foreign governments. Director/supervisor of projects in the areas of:
o information technology: computer models, management information
systems / geographic information systems design and implementation; database
system design and development; data modeling; Director of Management Systems
(chief information officer) with the Bank of Botswana (Botswana’s central
bank); systems and software engineering; ISO-9000 Quality Management
o monitoring and evaluation, institutional development, planning and
policy analysis of government programs in health, education, human services,
urban problems, rural development, agriculture, environment, economics, public
finance, tax policy analysis, cost-benefit analysis, personnel management
information systems, engineering, decentralization, privatization, and
democratization efforts
o international development in
Manager
of contract research firm (seven years); successful bidder on numerous
technical contracts, including four Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR)
contracts. Director of more than twenty
technical projects. Adjunct Professor of
Statistics at the
EDUCATION: PhD, Statistics, 1966,
BS, Mathematics,1962,
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE (in development applications):
Mar 2006 – Sept 2006. Technical Advisor in Personnel Management
Information Systems, United Nations Development Program,
Feb 2002 – April 2005. Technical
Advisor in Educational Management Information Systems, Academy for Educational
Development,
Jan
1999 – Jan 2001, Director of Management Systems, Bank of
Apr – Oct 1998. IT Specialist, Educational Management
Information System Design for Secondary Education Sector Development Project,
Asian Development Bank / Academy for Educational Development,
Sep 1997 – Mar 1998. Consultant in Risk Management, Strategic
Sourcing Inc., / Canada Trust Bank (now Toronto Dominion Bank), Bank Risk
Management,
May 1996 – Jul 1997. Statistical Consultant to Strategic Sourcing
Inc. / First Union National Bank (now Wachovia), Statistical and Optimization
Computer Models in
Nov 1995 – May 1996. Survey Statistician, Income and Employment
Survey for
May – Jun 1995. Sample Survey Design and Sampling
Statistician, Academy for Educational Development / USAID,
Jun 1993 – Dec 1994. Personnel Management Information System
Developer, Civil Servant Personnel Management Information System, Academy for
Educational Development / USAID,
The system development effort was
conducted in full compliance with the DOD-STD-2167A software development
standard (predecessor of today’s ISO 12207 Information Technology Standard),
and included the production of almost 1,000 pages of detailed system
documentation, including a System Design Document, Software
Requirements Specification, Software Design Document, Software
Programmer's Manual, Software Product Specification, and Software
User's Manual. The project included
on-the-job training of members of the Department's Management Information
Systems Unit (systems analysts, programmers) in systems engineering
(requirements analysis, technology assessment, synthesis of alternatives,
specification of evaluation criteria, selection of a preferred alternative,
top-level design, detailed design (optimization), implementation, and test),
the modern software engineering discipline (structured, top-down design),
management information system design, dBASE, software development project
management, and basic microcomputer upgrading and repair; and classroom
instruction for system users (personnel officers) in use of the system for data
entry and retrieval (queries and report generation).
Mar 1991 – Oct 1992. Manager of Monitoring and Evaluation,
Chemonics International / USAID,
Oct 1979 – Jan 1982. Project Director / Chief of Party, Economic
and Social Impact Analysis / Women in Development (ESIA/WID) Project, Vista
Research Corporation / USAID / NEDA,
Oct 1975 – Sep 1976. Project Director /Supervisor, Economic Policy
Analysis for the Government of Haiti, JWK Intl Corp / USAID,
Summary of Experience Related to Development
Systems and Software Engineering;
Computer Models, Systems and Applications; Management Information Systems;
Database Systems. Dr. Caldwell has directed
numerous software engineering projects, applying the modern principles of
systems and software engineering. This
approach includes requirements specification and analysis, technology review,
synthesis of system alternatives, cost-effectiveness analysis of alternatives
and selection of a preferred alternative, detailed design, implementation and
test. For the software subsystem he
utilizes top-down, structured design, and has experience using international
standards, including the ISO 12207 Information Technology Standard and its
predecessors (the US Department of Defense's Software Development Standard
(DOD-STD-2167A and MIL-STD-498)).
He has extensive hands-on microcomputer
systems development experience. He
designed and implemented a 50,000-line C-language microcomputer program (an
integrated geographic information system / expert system), and personally
conducted all of the software and database design and most of the programming
for the information systems work in the Egypt, Malawi and Zambia applications
mentioned above (dBASE, MS Access, SQL).
In a banking application, he developed
a geographic information system application (ArcView 3.0 GIS, SAS) to identify
good locations for bank automated teller machines (ATMs). He developed simulation/optimization system
for a bank to determine optimal loan pricing strategies (Windows NT, Microsoft
Visual Basic 5.0).
His computer experience includes
mainframe, mini- and microcomputer applications. Most recent work has been on 30x86
microcomputers (using MS-DOS, Windows, and UNIX operating systems). His system design work includes both hardware
and software system design. Much
experience with MS-Windows application development systems (Visual Basic,
C/Visual C, Visual Fortran, Visual FoxPro, FrontPage (HTML web page development)).
Level of Operation / Management
Approach / Design Approach. Dr. Caldwell has operated at all
organizational and technological levels, from administration, supervision and
project direction through system design and implementation. As Director of Management Systems at the Bank
of Botswana, he directed a staff of 16 IT professionals and many projects,
including the Year 2000 project, the project to set up a bank disaster recovery
/ avoidance system, the project to acquire a computer network management system
for the Bank, and the project to acquire a magnetic-ink character-recognition
(MICR) code-line clearing system for the country’s bank checks. As manager of R&D and principal scientist
at the US Army Electronic Proving Ground’s Electromagnetic Environmental Test
Facility he directed a staff of 16 scientists and engineers in test and
evaluation of military communications/electronics systems, and conducted all
work in accordance with US Department of Defense military standards. As manager of Vista Research Corporation he
was engaged in all aspects of computer systems development (systems and
software engineering), from requirements specification and top-level design
through coding and testing. He conducted
all aspects of development of the Personnel Management Information System (PMIS)
for the Government of Malawi and the Education Management Information System (EMIS)
for the Government of Zambia. He has
much “hands-on” coding experience programming languages such as Fortran, C and
Visual Basic, having developed systems with tens of thousands of lines of code
in all of these languages; database systems such as Microsoft Access and Xbase
systems (dBASE, FoxPro); and with development and application of demographic
and statistical software such as SPSS and SAS.
For larger projects or operations, he is a strong proponent of
“standards-based quality management,” which makes heavy use of international
standards (ISO 9000 Quality Management, ISO 12207 Information Technology, ISO/IEC
15504 (Software Process Improvement and Capability Determination, or “SPICE”),
Carnegie-Mellon University Software Engineering Institute Capability Maturity
Model (CMU SEI CMM)). [The fee charged
reflects the complexity, level of responsibility, and technological expertise
involved in the effort.]
Choice of Implementation Technology.
For longer projects, Dr. Caldwell will use the software systems (operating
systems, development environments, applications) already adopted by the client,
such as SAS if the client uses SAS or SPSS if the client uses SPSS; or Microsoft
technology versus other proprietary or open-systems technology for IT
application development. For new systems
or programs, he will conduct a requirements analysis to identify a preferred
technology or commercial off-the-shelf system.
Although he has experience with many operating systems, programming
languages, software packages and application development environments, most of
his recent experience is in Microsoft .NET systems, such as VB for programming;
FrontPage for static web page development; ASP.NET for dynamic web page
development; and Microsoft Access for data base development. For short-term consulting, he prefers to use
the Microsoft technology (Visual Studio, Visual Studio.NET, VB, Access, SQL
Server, FoxPro, FrontPage, ASP.NET) technology and Intel-based operating
systems (Microsoft Windows) since he has most experience with it. For longer-term projects, he is agreeable to
use any appropriate technology (e.g., open-source software such as Sun
Microsystems Java, JavaServer Pages, Macromedia ColdFusion, PHP, MySQL, Perl;
Unix-like operating systems (Linux, SUSE, RedHat/Fedora, Ubuntu); and
development tools (e.g., JDK, NetBeans IDE, Ant, Struts, Tomcat, IBM Eclipse
IDE). He has some experience in
Unix-related operating systems (e.g., running of applications on Sun Solaris (Unix)
minicomputers, and completion of a course in Sun Solaris Unix) and some
familiarity with Unix-related open-source systems (Linux, Apache, PHP, MySQL).
Computer Models for Forecasting and
Demographic Analysis. Dr. Caldwell developed the first
commercially-available general-purpose Box-Jenkins computer-forecasting package
(described at http://www.foundationwebsite.org/BoxJenkins.pdf , http://www.foundationwebsite.org/TIMESVol1TechnicalBackground.pdf
), and microcomputer software for making demographic projections
(cohort-component, synthetic estimation) (described at http://www.foundationwebsite.org/DestCapINTL.pdf
. For the US Department of Health and
Human Services, he directed the project to develop a prototype microsimulation
forecasting model and a statistical reporting system to provide the data
required by the model. The model --
called MICROSIM -- was developed to forecast caseloads and expenditures for HHS
programs under various policy assumptions.
Artificial Intelligence / Expert
Systems / Geographic Information Systems. For the US Army
Communications-Electronics Command, directed a project to develop an expert
system to position military units and equipment, taking into account the
location of friendly and opposing forces, mission, tactical combat rules, and
digital terrain data. The system
incorporated the NASA-developed C-Language Integrated Production System
("CLIPS") expert system and used digital mapping data extracted from
the US Army's Geographic Resources and Services System (GRASS) geographic
information system (GIS). The system was
developed for MS-DOS-based 80x86 microcomputers, and included a comprehensive
graphical user interface (mouse, windows, and menus).
Privatization, Decentralization, and
Democratization. Broad experience in monitoring,
evaluation, and policy analysis related to privatization, decentralization, and
democratization, with special emphasis on the development of
"harmonious" tax systems that support these objectives; director of
several national-level cost-benefit analysis projects. In the
Management Consulting / Business
Experience. Dr. Caldwell has substantial experience in
management consulting to industry, including consulting, training, and system
development in forecasting, quality control, product improvement, process
control, and economic analysis of production alternatives. He founded and managed his own contract
research firm (Vista Research Corporation, operated full-time for seven years),
and set up a ladies' fashions importing/retailing firm (Sonora Marketing
Corporation). In these efforts, Dr.
Caldwell designed, implemented and managed all major functional components of
the operations (marketing, production, and finance).
Standards-Based Quality Management.
For larger projects, Dr. Caldwell employs a “standards-based quality
management” approach to project management.
This approach makes full use of internationally recognized management
and technical standards that are applicable to the effort. Examples of projects that he directed that
employed this approach are the following:
·
Manager of Research and Development and Principal Scientist, US Army
Electronic Proving Ground’s Electromagnetic Environmental Test Facility.
In this role, all of the engineering and software development efforts
directed by Dr. Caldwell were conducted in conformance with applicable
·
Personnel Management Information System (PMIS) for the Government of
·
Research in Artificial Intelligence for Noncommunications Electronic
Warfare Systems. The purpose of this project was
to develop an automated system for generating military scenarios for use in
testing of military electronic-warfare systems.
This project was developed in full compliance with the DOD-STD2167A
Defense Systems Software Development Standard.
·
Director of Management Systems for the central bank of
o
Direction of the Bank’s Year-2000 program using guidelines published by
the
o
Use of the ISO 12207 Information Technology Standard to guide all major
software development and acquisition efforts (such as the effort to acquire a
national code-line clearing system based on magnetic-ink character recognition
of checks, and the project to acquire a computer network management system for
the Bank).
o
Initiation of an effort to have the Bank’s Management Systems Department
operate in compliance with the ISO 9000 Quality Management Standard.
o
Assessment of the software development capability of the Bank’s staff
and its software suppliers using the Carnegie Mellon University Software
Engineering Institute’s Capability Maturity Model (CMM) (predecessor of the ISO
15504 Standard, Software Process Improvement and Capability Determination
(“SPICE”)).
o
Direction of the project to develop the Bank’s Business Continuity Plan
/ Disaster Recovery Plan, using the Business Continuity Planning Guidelines
issued by the Texas Department of Information Resources.
o
Direction of the project to develop an information technology security
plan, using the US General Accounting Office’s Information Security Risk
Assessment guidelines.
In addition to providing assurance that
work conducted in compliance with international professional standards will be
of high quality, one of the other distinct benefits of using standards-based
quality management is that staff members benefit greatly from being provided the
opportunity and experience of working in compliance with quality management and
technical standards.
Statistics / Sample Survey Design /
Program Monitoring Systems. Dr. Caldwell developed the
design for many important national sample surveys and statistical reporting
systems. He specializes in the
development of analytical survey designs to collect data for model development,
and has developed new techniques for handling nonresponse in longitudinal
surveys. Surveys and reporting systems
include:
o
o
o
o
o Professional Standards Review Organization Data Base Development Study
o Study of Impact of National Health Insurance on Bureau of Community
Health Service Users
o 1976 Survey of Institutionalized Persons
o Sampling Manual for Utilization Review of Medicaid
o Sampling Manual for Social Services (Title XX) Reporting Requirements
o Sampling Manual for Office of Child Support Enforcement Reporting
Requirements
o Dept. of Housing and Urban Development Housing Market Practices Survey
o Research Design for the Urban Arterials Section of the Highway
Capacity Manual
o Elementary and Secondary School Civil Rights Survey
Evaluation Research.
Dr. Caldwell has conducted a number of evaluation research studies,
including the following:
o Evaluation Survey of USAID Local Development Projects in
o Social Services Effectiveness Evaluation for
o Day Care Cost-Benefit Study
o Vocational Rehabilitation Evaluation Standards Study
o Cost-Benefit Analysis of National Institute for Alcohol Abuse and
o Medicaid Standards Impact Assessment
Public Finance.
In addition to his work in tax policy analysis and cost-benefit
analysis, Dr. Caldwell directed studies to develop alternative allocation /
matching formulas for major state/federal programs:
o Vocational
o Medicaid and AFDC Matching Percentage Formula
Operations Research and Statistics in
Industrial and Commercial Applications. Dr. Caldwell has
applied a wide variety of operations research and statistical techniques to
solve practical problems in industrial and commercial applications. Applications include the use of simulation
and modeling, experimental design, and statistical forecasting techniques to
solve problems in process control, statistical quality control, demand
forecasting, and economic analysis of alternative modes of production in the
textile and pharmaceutical industries, and test and evaluation of electronic
systems and equipment (communications and noncommunications).
Technical Training.
In addition to his role as university professor, Dr. Caldwell developed
the popular seminar, "Sample Survey Design and Analysis." (Course notes for this course are posted at
Internet websites http://www.foundationwebsite.org/SampleSurvey3DayCourseDayOne.pdf
, http://www.foundationwebsite.org/SampleSurvey3DayCourseDayTwo.pdf
and http://www.foundationwebsite.org/SampleSurvey3DayCourseDayThree.pdf
.)
Computer Languages, Packages, and
Systems. Heavy experience in applications programming
in FORTRAN, C, Visual C, Visual Basic, dBASE/FoxPro, Microsoft Access and SQL on
mainframe computers, minicomputers and microcomputers under a variety of
operating systems (MS-DOS, Microsoft Windows, UNIX, IBM, CDC, UNIVAC, Sun Solaris
SPARCcenter and others); experienced in application of statistical program
packages, such as SAS and SPSS. Strong
microcomputer experience, including the development of graphics-based
microcomputer software for geographic information systems applications. Familiar with a variety of commercial
microcomputer software (e.g., word processing, electronic spreadsheet, data
base, desktop publishing, accounting).
Experience working in a Microsoft Windows / UNIX network environment
(VB, SAS, Oracle). Familiar with
Microsoft Office suite of products (Word, Access, Excel, PowerPoint, FrontPage)
on Windows 95/NT/XP or UNIX client/server system.
LANGUAGES: English (native); working knowledge of French and Spanish; limited
German and Arabic (for transportation, household use). Currently studying Portuguese (some use in
Timor-Leste and
GEOGRAPHIC EXPERIENCE: