Can America Survive?

 

 

 

 

Joseph George Caldwell

 

 

 

 


Copyright ©1999, 2000 Vista Research Corporation.  All rights reserved.

Originally published June 6, 1999.

Minor corrections November 21, 2000.

 

 

Bible scripture quotations taken from the Holy Bible, New International Version â.  Copyright 1973, 1978, 1984 by International Bible Society.  Used by permission.

 

Koran scripture quotations taken from the Holy Qur’aan, Kutub Khana Ishayat-Ul-Islam (Regd), Delhi, India, 1978, or from The Meaning of the Holy Qur’an by Abdullah Yusuf ‘Ali, copyright 1992 by Amana Corporation.

 

Quotations from Small Is Beautiful, A Guide for the Perplexed and Good Work by E. F. Schumacher copyright 1989, 1978, 1980 by Harper & Row, Publishers.

 

Quotations from Malcolm X’s speeches from Malcolm X: An NPRâ Presentation (P) 1992 by Dove Audio, 301 North Canon Drive, Beverly Hills, CA 90210.

 

All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

This book is devoted to God,

 and dedicated to my mother, to the memory of my father,

 and to my wife, Jackie.

 


 

Table of Contents

 

I. Introduction.. 1

II. The Current State of the World.. 4

Economic State of the World. 4

Environmental and Ecological State of the World. 5

The Nuclear-Warfare State of the World. 7

III. Human Population Growth.. 8

IV. Population Projections.. 11

V. Carrying Capacity Estimates.. 14

VI. Planetary Forecasts.. 18

VII. The Relationship of Population and Quality of Life to Energy Consumption   20

VIII. Energy Sources.. 23

Fossil Fuels. 23

Other Sources of Energy. 25

Nuclear Energy. 27

Some Information about Nuclear Bombs. 31

Waste Considerations. 33

Summary. 34

IX. The Role of Economics.. 36

Economics and Slavery. 36

Economics and Population Growth. 37

Economics and Ethics. 41

X. What Size Should the Human Population Be?.. 47

Statistical Decision Theory and Game Theory. 47

Decision Theory Applied to Population Policy Analysis: The Criterion of Minimal Regret 50

The Minimal-Regret Population Policy. 54

Attributes of the Minimal-Regret Population Policy. 56

XI. How Soon Should Human Population Be Reduced?.. 61

XII. The Inevitability of Nuclear War.. 62

Historical Developments. 62

The Present Situation. 62

The Odds of Nuclear War. 65

The Ethics of Nuclear War. 67

Postattack Countermeasures: Preparing for the Aftermath of Nuclear War. 68

XIII. Low-Intensity Nuclear Conflict.. 71

XIV. Country Case Studies.. 74

United States. 74

Canada. 90

Brazil 91

Russian Federation. 92

China. 92

Summary. 94

XV. What to Do after the War?.. 95

XVI. The Role of Religion.. 97

XVII. Socio-political Characteristics of Energy-Rich and Energy-Poor Societies   103

XVIII. Who Will Rule?.. 110

The Japanese. 113

The Teutonics. 115

The Chinese. 117

The Russians. 118

The Indians. 118

The Negroes. 119

Relgious Groups. 122

The Arabs; Islam.. 123

The Israelis; Judaism..