Foundation

Internet website http://www.foundationwebsite.org, updated 13 December 2023.  Books and articles on Planetary Management and other topics from Tucson, Arizona USA.  Copyright © 1999-2023 Joseph George Caldwell.  All rights reserved.

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NEW! Putin's Last Move.  The thesis of this essay is that if Russian President Putin saw that he was to lose the war in Ukraine, then he would initiate global biological warfare.

NEW! How to Survive the Coming Collapse.  An article that explores a way to survive collapse of global society as fossil fuels exhaust.

NEW! The Shape of Things to Come.  A qualitative discussion of the fate of human society and the biosphere in the near future, as global fossil-fuel reserves are depleted.

NEW! The Planet Masters Book 1, Preparation.  A novel about the establishment of a long-term-sustainable planetary management system to provide a high quality of life for human beings in a species-rich biosphere.  Book 1 describes the development of a global system of Small Modular Nuclear Reactors (SMRs) to address the global energy and ecological crises, and a system of survival pods to avoid the loss of technological civilization after a catastrophic collapse of global industrial society.

NEW! The Planet Masters Book 2, Transition.  A novel about the establishment of a long-term-sustainable planetary management system (PMS) to provide a high quality of life for human beings in a species-rich biosphere.  Book 2 describes the implementation of the PMS in the aftermath of global nuclear war.  It describes how and why Canada would win such a war, and the United States would lose it.

NEW! A New World Order: The Coming Transition from Fossil Fuels and Capitalism to Nuclear Energy and Eco-Socialism.  This article describes a plan for establishing a long-term-sustainable planetary management system on Earth. The proposed system will enable humankind to live with a high level of freedom and without poverty in harmony with an ecologically rich biosphere.

Foundation Headlines

Foundation Headlines: Brief observations (Headlines), short notes and articles, extracts from documents covering diverse topics (such as the Foundation Miscellany series), and summaries of long or technical documents (such as books, technical reports and lengthy articles).

Planetary Management

Planetary Management: Energy, Environment, Population, Politics.  This website, established in 1999, is the first, oldest, and longest-running Internet website dedicated to the subject of planetary management.  A long-term-sustainable human population: a "Minimal-Regret" solar-energy-based, biospherically stable population consisting of 5 million high-tech people and 5 million low-tech people.

Radio Plays: TerraNova, The Planet Master.  Radio plays about overpopulation and nuclear war.  Russia prevails after global nuclear war, and implements a long-term-sustainable human population on Earth.

Nuclear War: Articles on the likelihood and survivability of nuclear war.

Predictions: Probability-based predictions of things to come in 2021.

Novels: The Planet Masters Book 1, Preparation and Book 2, Transition.  Novels about the establishment of a long-term-sustainable planetary management system to provide a high quality of life for human beings in a species-rich biosphere.

Synarchy, MX. Two novels that explore pathways leading to and from global nuclear war.

Public Policy (COVID-19, Health Care, Value-Added Tax)

The COVID-19 Pandemic: Answers to the questions "Is the COVID-19 pandemic a hoax?", "Are face masks a hoax?", "Is mass testing a hoax?"  As long as there are no effective treatments or vaccines for COVID-19, unless pandemic control measures (such as social distancing, face masks, business and school closings, testing, contact tracing and quarantine) wipe out the disease (as in China), deaths are simply delayed, not prevented.  In this case, pandemic control measures are ineffective (since they do not affect the total eventual number of fatalities), and claims that they "save lives" are false, a fraud, a con, a scam, a hoax.  Who benefits from this scam, and who pays?

A New Health-Care System for America  A national health-care system based on free basic health care provided by local neighborhood clinics.

Economics: The Value-Added Tax: A New Tax System for the United States; A Child’s Primer on Economics

Immigration: The Benefit of Immigration: Increased Gross Domestic Product (GDP); The Costs of Immigration: COVID-19 Transmission, Loss of Culture, Loss of Living Space, Crowding, Diminished Quality of Life; Degraded Environment; Increased Pollution, Increased Global Warming, Needless Deaths, Needless Killings

Technical (Statistics, Demography, Optimization, Information Technology, Artificial Intelligence)

Statistics Courses: Statistical Methods for Monitoring and Evaluation: A Comprehensive Survey Course (Sample Survey Design and Analysis; Causal Inference; Time Series Analysis; Multivariate Analysis; Small-Area Statistics, Sample Size Determination)

Mathematical Forecasting: Summary of Mathematical Forecasting Techniques; Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models (ARIMA, Box-Jenkins); Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR); Optimization Models

Design of Analytical Sample Surveys: Causal-inference-based sample surveys for model-building and impact analysis in program evaluation and policy analysis.  Articles and briefings on the application of artificial intelligence methodology (causal inference / causal modeling and analysis) to the design and analysis of analytical sample surveys.

Causal Inference and Matching: Judea Pearl Structured Causal Models (Markovian Bayesian Networks); Neyman-Rubin Causal Model; Heckman Methodology.  Briefing on the application of artificial intelligence methodology (causal inference / causal modeling and analysis) to the design and analysis of tests for operational test and evaluation (OT&E).

Demography: Cohort-component population projection, synthetic estimation.

Optimization and Game Theory; Constrained optimization; Hugh Everett's Generalized Lagrange Multiplier (GLM) method, optimal allocation of resources; determination of optimal strategies; non-zero-sum games; Nash Bargaining Solution; defense models (ballistic missile defense, naval general-purpose forces); variable-rate loan pricing model; Election Planning Model.

Artificial Intelligence: Scenarist Automated Scenario Generation System

Apparent Wind Speed  Formulas for determining the apparent wind speed of a boat.

Miscellaneous Topics

Music: Mathematical foundations of the theory of music; how to play the guitar; how to fix a guitar; chords and lyrics for older popular songs (country music, popular songs, Christmas songs, children's songs, spiritual songs, Spanish songs); sample recordings.

Contract Bridge: A simplified contract bridge bidding system; John Memory’s duplicate bridge methods.

Spirituality and New Age: What Is the good life? On Neale Donald Walsch and Conversations with God; Foundation New Age Calendar; Isaac Newton vindicated.

Freemasonry: Proposal to transform Freemasonry; Masonic Temple in Monrovia, Liberia.

East Timor: A country model for East Timor; John Perkins; FALINTIL marching.

Miscellany: Miscellaneous articles written over the years on current events and divers topics.

Poems: A Legend of the Northland; The Little Dog Under the Wagon; Make Me a Friend; Hong Kong Boys.

Personal: Roger Conant, Edna Mary Conant Caldwell; curriculum vitae; family pictures; contact.

Please support the Foundation effort to protect the environment!  From 1999 to 2021, the Foundation website has been managed without external support.  Over the years since 1999, the global human and ecological crises have continued to worsen.  To expand the Foundation's mission to help solve these challenges, it is necessary to accept funding from external sources.  Please help our mission by contributing today!  Contributions are accepted at the GoFundMe fundraising account, Save the Earth! at https://gofund.me/48a3f521.  Thank you!

Benefits of the Foundation website (all FREE!):

Resource materials on population and the environment, including many articles and several books, such as Can America Survive?

Lecture notes for statistics courses on sample survey, time series analysis, multivariate analysis, small-area statistics, causal inference, matching and demographic analysis.

Articles on statistical topics such as the design and analysis of analytical sample surveys (to assess impact of social and economic programs), forecasting and causal inference.

Software to determine sample sizes for complex surveys, such as a double-difference design (treatment vs. control, before and after). Software to make synthetic estimates from population projections.

Chords and lyrics for approximately 1,000 songs (popular, folk, country, rock-and-roll, Christmas, children’s, Mexican)

Articles on music theory and how to play the guitar by ear.

Commentary on current events (formerly the Miscellany series, now posts to Medium).

Technical articles on General-Sum Game Theory and the application of Everett’s General Lagrange Multiplier (GLM) method to solve resource-constrained optimization problems in defense and finance.

Books and articles on politics, health care, economics and immigration, including A New Health-Care System for America, The Value-Added Tax: A New Tax System for the United States, and A New World Order: The Coming Transition from Fossil Fuels and Capitalism to Nuclear Energy and Eco-Socialism.

Novels, short stories and radio plays on science fiction and planetary management, including The Planet Masters.